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BANC OF CALIFORNIA, INC. (BANC)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2024 headline: GAAP diluted EPS was $(0.01) on total revenue of $216.7M; adjusted EPS was $0.25, reflecting a $60M pre-tax loss on securities repositioning and strong NIM expansion to 2.93% .
- Balance sheet actions were the quarter’s catalyst: sale of $1.95B of Civic loans (net proceeds $1.91B), $742M AFS repositioning (sold 2.94% yield, bought 5.65% yield) and payoff of $545M BTFP; wholesale funding ratio fell to 10.7% and average total cost of deposits declined 6 bps to 2.54% .
- Guidance tilts positive: management raised Q4 NIM outlook to 3.00–3.10% (from 2.90–3.00% previously) and targets noninterest expense at the low end of $195–$200M; future-state targets (ROAA ~1.1%+, ROTCE ~13%+) maintained .
- Credit mixed but manageable: NPLs/loans rose to 0.72% (two commercial + one Civic loan), while ACL/loans edged up to 1.20% and net charge-offs fell sharply Q/Q to 0.04% annualized .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Margin and funding: NIM expanded 13 bps Q/Q to 2.93% on a 13 bps decline in total cost of funds; avg. total cost of deposits fell 6 bps to 2.54% .
- Strategic repositioning: Sold $1.95B Civic loans (net $1.91B), executed $742M AFS swap (2.94% → 5.65% yield) expected to add ~$4.8M interest income per quarter; paid off $545M BTFP .
- Cost control and mix: Noninterest expense declined to $196.2M; achieved Q4 opex target early; spot NIB mix improved to 29% of deposits .
- CEO quote: “We achieved our year-end targets…a quarter early…reposition[ed] a portion of our securities portfolio and significantly reduce[d] higher cost funding” .
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What Went Wrong
- One-time loss: $60.0M loss on sale of securities drove negative noninterest income and GAAP EPS of $(0.01) despite stronger core earnings .
- Credit migration: NPLs/loans rose to 0.72% from 0.50% Q/Q (two commercial and one Civic loan); delinquencies also increased to 0.53% of loans .
- Revenue optics: Total revenue fell Q/Q to $216.7M (from $259.3M) due to the securities loss; headline “revenue” for banks is sensitive to noninterest items .
Financial Results
P&L and efficiency vs. prior year/quarter
Balance sheet and risk KPIs
Loan portfolio mix (as % of loans HFI)
KPIs and definitions per company disclosures; “Total revenue” equals NII + noninterest income .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic execution: “We achieved our year-end targets for net interest margin, noninterest expenses, and balance sheet metrics a quarter early…reposition[ed]…and significantly reduce[d] higher cost funding” — Jared Wolff, CEO .
- Outlook pivot: “We are…at an inflection point, shifting our focus…to external growth…well positioned to increase our market share” — Jared Wolff, CEO .
- Margin drivers and outlook: “Our net interest margin…increased 13 basis points to 2.93%…We provided our fourth quarter outlook…3% to 3.10%” — Joe Kauder, CFO .
- Funding progress: “3Q24 FDIC assessment accrual lowers to $13.0mm…Wholesale funding ratio of 10.7%…NIB deposit ratio of 29.1%” — Investor deck .
Q&A Highlights
- NIM path and rate sensitivity: Management expects further NIM expansion in Q4 with a full-quarter benefit from actions; deposit beta running “just over 50%” post-September cut; a second cut likely benefits 1Q more than Q4 .
- Deposit pricing/ECR: ECR expenses are formulaic (often tied to Fed funds) and expected to decline as rates fall; negotiations are annual in HOA and messaging has limited attrition .
- Loan growth mix: Near-term opportunity in warehouse and lender finance; organic growth to pick up as rates fall ~50 bps; added team and repurchased $319M lender finance at par .
- FDIC normalization and opex: Core FDIC run-rate improving; Q3 included a nonrecurring favorable adjustment; opex tracking to $195–$200M with a low-end bias in Q4 .
- Capital return: CET1 ~11% is the threshold for considering buybacks/preferred redemption; priorities will depend on valuation and regulatory dialogue .
Estimates Context
- We attempted to retrieve S&P Global consensus for EPS and Revenue for Q3 and forward periods but were unable to access estimates due to service limits at the time of analysis. As a result, we cannot state beats/misses versus S&P consensus for this quarter. The company reported GAAP EPS of $(0.01) and adjusted EPS of $0.25; “total revenue” was $216.7M .
- Where Street estimates influence the narrative (e.g., raised NIM guide), we anchor to company disclosures and calls; we explicitly note the unavailability of S&P consensus for numeric comparison.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Core earnings power inflected: NIM rose to 2.93% and Q4 guide was raised to 3.00–3.10%, supported by lower funding costs, AFS repositioning, and richer loan production yields; opex targeted at the low end of $195–$200M in Q4 .
- Balance sheet optimization largely complete: Civic sale, AFS swaps, and BTFP payoff improved liquidity, capital, and funding mix; wholesale funding ratio now 10.7% .
- Mix improving: NIB reached 29% of deposits; average total cost of deposits declined to 2.54%; continued focus on HOA and commercial relationships should further lower funding costs as rates fall .
- Credit watchlist manageable: NPLs/loans rose to 0.72% on a few credits; ACL/loans is 1.20% and management remains conservative, with low Q3 NCOs (0.04% annualized) .
- Capital build ongoing: CET1 10.45% with pathway to ~11% enabling flexibility (buybacks/preferred/securities optimization) as earnings stabilize .
- 2025 setup: If funding costs continue to drift lower and Specialty Finance/warehouse scale prudently, the bank remains on track toward its future-state profitability targets (ROAA ~1.1%+, ROTCE ~13%+) with potential estimate revisions upward once Street models reflect the higher NIM guide and lower opex trajectory .
Additional Supporting Details (Selected KPIs)
- Deposit composition snapshot (Q3 vs Q2): Brokered time deposits fell to 8% of total deposits (from 14% Q/Q); NIB rose to 29% (from 27% Q/Q) .
- Liquidity: Total available liquidity $16.2B (2.4x uninsured/unsecured deposits); cash & equivalents $2.55B .
- Dividends: $0.10/share common dividend declared Aug 12 for Oct 1 payment; Series F preferred $0.4845 per depositary share declared for Sept 3 payment .
All data and quotations are sourced from the Q3 2024 8-K/press release, investor presentation, and earnings call transcript unless otherwise noted: ; –; –; Q2 prior-period comps and call: – –; Q1 call baseline: –; Additional Q3 press: –; Dividends: .